Thinking Out Loud: 2010 ACC Football Preview-Wake Forest

May 19th, 2010 by Brandon Rink

It’s that time of year–football season speculation time, and I’m going through the ACC team by team with an outlook for the 2010 season.

Let’s go to the replay(2009 season): 5-7(3-5 ACC)

Expectations weren’t high last season, but with the ACC Championship-winning senior QB Riley Skinner at the helm of the offense, the Deacs were looking for a bowl berth at least–didn’t happen. After a 4-2 start, Wake Forest went on a 5 game slide with 38-3, 13-10, 28-27, 30-27, and 41-28 defeats (3 of 5 on road). The Demon Deacons did finish off the season with a 45-34 win over the Duke Blue Devils to end the long losing streak. Jim Grobe set a high standard in 2006 with the ACC Championship, and this season was not representative of Grobe Deacs football.

But in 2010…

Skinner is gone, and many of the guys in the trenches, on both sides of the ball — there has been so much change that Grobe is going to a whole new offensive system. In the past, he has employed an option-esque misdirection, seen often in the 2006 ACC Championship season, but it appears the Deacs are going to a complete system based on option football like Coastal Division counterpart Georgia Tech. The move makes sense with a number of skill players returning outside of the QB on offense. My concern is with the offensive line to anchor the system. All the misdirection in the world can’t stop a defense from over-powering a lost or inexperienced offensive line.

On the schedule…

2010 Schedule
DATE OPPONENT
9/02 Presbyterian
9/11 Duke
9/18 @ Stanford
9/25 @ Florida State
10/02 Georgia Tech
10/09 Navy
10/16 @ Virginia Tech
10/30 @ Maryland
11/06 Boston College
11/13 @ North Carolina State
11/20 Clemson
11/27 @ Vanderbilt

That matchup with Duke in week two is the determining factor between bowl or no bowl for Wake Forest. It’s a tough schedule with the Coastal’s best in Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech, road trips to FSU and NC State, and the Stanford/Vandy road trips. The offense better come together quickly or Wake Forest fans will be suffering through blowout loss after blowout loss in 2010.

Fun with (record) scenarios…

Best Case: 7-5(4-4 ACC)

This is generous with the Deacs taking 3 of its 4 OOC games and drawing even in the ACC.

Worst Case: 2-10(1-7 ACC)

Wake Forest’s ACC schedule could be a gauntlet, and the road games at Vandy and Stanford–they have struggled with Navy a bunch lately to boot.

Realistic-like case: 4-8(2-6 ACC)

Color me conservative on my pick for the Deacs based on the info at this point, but the change in offense is a positive sign. If Grobe can find the right mix for the offense, and the defensive play solid, Wake Forest can surprise in the Atlantic with a winning campaign.

Can the Deacs breakthrough this season and surprise the ACC? Or will Wake Forest dwell in the cellar of the Atlantic with losses left and right?

Early, Early Picks for ACC Basketball–2010-11

May 13th, 2010 by Brandon Rink

Here’s a simulcast with my daily ACC blog at On The B. Rink

Last couple weeks, we looked at the early entrants and the grads–but how about the ACC players coming back and how the ACC dominoes fall next season?

The News & Observer puts together an early projected starting lineup yearly with early entrants/graduation/new recruits factored in and here’s my early picks based off how the ACC is looking at this point.

1. Duke Blue Devils

2009-10: 13-3, first
G Kyrie Irving, fr.
G Seth Curry, soph. (20.2 ppg @ Liberty)
G Nolan Smith, sr. (17.4 ppg)
F Kyle Singler, sr. (17.7 ppg)
F Mason Plumlee, soph. (3.7 ppg)
Bench: G Andre Dawkins, F Miles Plumlee, F Ryan Kelly, F Josh Hairston

Outlook: Loooooooooooooooaded. They will be a unanimous choice for the ACC and one of the top teams in the country.

2. Florida State Seminoles

2009-10: 10-6, third
G Derwin Kitchen, sr. (8.1 ppg)
G Deividas Dulkys, jr. (8.7 ppg)
G Michael Snaer, soph. (8.8 ppg)
F Chris Singleton, jr. (10.2 ppg)
F Xavier Gibson, jr. (5.5 ppg)
Bench: G Luke Loucks, F Terrance Shannon, PG Ian Miller, F Okaro White, F Jon Kreft

Outlook: No Alabi, no problem? That’s what I’m saying–the cupboard isn’t bare at FSU and if there’s a year that Hamilton’s Noles make a run–it has to be this season.

3. Virginia Tech Hokies

2009-10: 10-6, fourth
G Malcolm Delaney, sr. (20.2 ppg)
G Dorenzo Hudson, sr. (12.0 ppg)
F Terrell Bell, sr. (6.1 ppg)
F Victor Davila, jr. (5.3 ppg)
F Jeff Allen, sr. (15.2 ppg)
Bench: F J.T. Thompson, G Erick Green, F Jarell Eddie, F Allan Chaney, F Cadarian Raines, F Manny Atkins, G Ben Boggs

Outlook: The time is now in Blacksburg as they return everybody. Greenberg needs to advance past simply making the ever-elusive NCAA Tourney, but win some games in said tourney.

4. North Carolina Tar Heels

2009-10: 5-11, 10th
G Larry Drew II, jr. (8.5 ppg)
G Reggie Bullock, fr.
F Harrison Barnes, fr.
F John Henson, soph. (5.7 ppg)
F Tyler Zeller, jr. (9.3 ppg)
Bench: F Will Graves, G Dexter Strickland, PG Kendall Marshall, G Leslie McDonald

Outlook: The Tar Heels are an interesting squad to watch this season because they had such a fall from grace last season. Heels are still young and Williams will have quite a coaching job to do to get UNC back to the top.

5. Maryland Terrapins

2009-10: 13-3, second
G Adrian Bowie, sr. (4.8 ppg)
G Sean Mosley, jr. (10.1 ppg)
G Cliff Tucker, sr. (5.7 ppg)
F Dino Gregory, sr. (4.2 ppg)
F Jordan Williams, soph. (9.6 ppg)
Bench: F James Padgett, G Terrell Stoglin, F Mychal Parker, PG Pe’Shon Howard

Outlook: Terps lose three of their biggest starters from last season with Vasquez, Hayes, and Milbourne, but they have a talented group coming back. Sean Mosley has to step into the go-to-guy role and Jordan Williams has to expand his role in the paint for the Terps to stay here.

6. Clemson Tigers

2009-10: 9-7, sixth
G Demontez Stitt, sr. (11.4 ppg)
G Tanner Smith, jr. (8.7 ppg)
F Milton Jennings, soph. (3.2 ppg)
F Devin Booker, soph. (4.5 ppg)
F Jerai Grant, sr. (7.2 ppg)
Bench: G Noel Johnson, G Andre Young, G Donte Hill, F Bryan Narcisse

Outlook: The Tigers are in transition between philosophies with a new coach in Brownell and lose star forward Trevor Booker, but this team still has the guns to compete in a wide-open(past Duke) ACC.

7. N.C. State Wolfpack

2009-10: 5-11, 11th
G Javier Gonzalez, sr. (9.5 ppg)
G Lorenzo Brown, fr.
F C.J. Leslie, fr.
F Richard Howell, soph. (4.9 ppg)
F Tracy Smith, sr. (16.5 ppg)
Bench: PG Ryan Harrow, G Scott Wood, G C.J. Williams, F DeShawn Painter, F Jordan Vandenberg

Outlook: Expectations should be high in Raleigh with a talented crew coming in and back. If Lowe can capture the magic of the ACC Tourney run to the semis, the Pack can go far, but I’m staying a bit skeptical on them.

8. Miami Hurricanes

2009-10: 4-12, 12th
G Durand Scott, soph. (10.3 ppg)
G Malcolm Grant, jr. (9.6 ppg)
G DeQuan Jones, jr. (5.7 ppg)
F Julian Gamble, jr. (3.5 ppg)
F Reggie Johnson, soph. (6.4 ppg)
Bench: G Rion Brown, G Garrius Adams, G Antoine Allen, F Donnavan Kirk

Outlook: Miami will be a trendy pick this season, but I’m on the fence with them. I  like Scott and Johnson, but Miami has a lot to prove right now.

9. Virginia Cavaliers

2009-10: 5-11, ninth
G Jontel Evans, soph. (2.4 ppg)
G Sammy Zeglinski, jr. (8.9 ppg)
G K.T. Harrell, fr.
F Mike Scott, sr. (12.0 ppg)
F James Johnson, fr.
Bench: PG Billy Baron, F Will Regan, F Assane Sene, G Joe Harris, G Mustapha Farrakhan, F Will Sherrill

Outlook: I had the ‘Hoos at ninth in my early, early picks last season and that’s where they finished–completely new team coming to play next season with Bennett cleaning house, but they have some talent.

10. Boston College Eagles

2009-10: 6-10, eighth
G Reggie Jackson, jr. (12.9 ppg)
G Dallas Elmore, jr. (3.9 ppg)
F Corey Raji, sr. (11.4 ppg)
F Joe Trapani, sr. (14.1 ppg)
F Josh Southern, sr. (4.4 ppg)
Bench: PG Biko Paris, F Courtney Dunn

Outlook: New system, several transfers, and a squad of mostly unproven, consistently, players at this level–hard to get behind the Eagles at this point.

11. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

2009-10: 7-9, seventh
G Moe Miller, sr. (3.9 ppg)
G Iman Shumpert, jr. (10.0 ppg)
G Glen Rice Jr., soph. (5.4 ppg)
F Kammeon Holsey, r-fr.
F Brad Sheehan, sr. (1.2 ppg)
Bench: G Brian Oliver, PG Mfon Udofia, F Daniel Miller

Outlook: The Jackets return all of their primary guards, but the problem falls with losing the three best players off last year’s team with Favors, Lawal, and Peacock in the paint. I will stay cautious on Georgia Tech because I’m not sure the Jackets’ guards can carry them.

12. Wake Forest Demon Deacons

2009-10: 9-7, fifth
G Tony Chennault, fr.
G C.J. Harris, soph. (9.9 ppg)
F Ari Stewart, soph. (7.3 ppg)
F Tony Woods, jr. (4.6 ppg)
F Carson Derosiers, fr.
Bench: F Travis McKie, F Melvin Tabb, G J.T. Terrell, F Ty Walker, G Gary Clark

Outlook: New coach Jeff Bzdelik has a project on his hands, but the cupboard isn’t totally bare. If he can get the Deacs back to the NCAA Tourney, Bzdelik did a great coaching job.

Who’s too high? Who’s underrated? Can anyone knock off Duke? Early NCAA Tourney bid predictions?

2010 ACC Tourney Breakdown: Wake Forest vs. Miami

March 9th, 2010 by Brandon Rink

Day one of the 2010 ACC Tourney opens up with a number of good matchups, but the Deacs should be fine…

The 5/12 game at the ACC Tournament, in theory, is a matchup of the best of the day one teams against the worst of the day one teams–but in four years of the current ACC Tourney bracket, the 5 seed has lost 3 of 4 years with Miami’s win over NC State in 2008 being the lone victory.

I’m expecting that number to be 3 of 5 by Thursday night.

Wake Guards vs. Miami Guards: Advantage Deacs

Ish Smith has the it factor that no Miami guard has consistently–he can drive and distribute with the best. Miami has talent across the board, but no consistency–and a general lack of flow to the entire offensive scheme. The Canes can get hot and play a strong half, but complete games they lack.

Wake Frontcourt vs. Miami Frontcourt: Advantage Deacs

Miami lost Dwayne Collins at the wrong time of the year as he sat out the Florida State game and is done for the ACC Tournament with a stress fracture. Beyond Collins, the Canes will look to an emerging Reggie Johnson and Julian Gamble to fill the void for points in the paint. As for the Deacs, Al-Farouq Aminu broke out of the slump on Sunday with 18 points and 12 rebounds, and at points this season he has been an absolute double-double machine. Add a couple of 7 footers to the mix with McFarland and Woods–Miami frontcourt will be over-matched.

Coaches: Even

The jury is still out on Gaudio to me with March coaching–Haith has had me scratching my head too of late–this game will be up to who gets hot among the players.

Result: Deacs Win Comfortably

Despite history, this game is as much of a lock as can be–Wake Forest got back on track against Clemson and will be able to pull away even if Miami gets hot at some point–Miami won’t sustain the lead and the Deacs prevail.

How far do you see Wake going in the ACC Tourney? Hokies will be a tough test in that next round–I’ll have my complete ACC picks on my site at OnTheB-Rink.com/blog

Wake Needs To Pull It Together

March 6th, 2010 by chicamacomicodude

I sincerely apologize once again for my lack of posts…being a two sport honors student-athlete can be very time consuming.  Since I left you last, Wake has fallen apart so very suddenly, with losses against Virginia Tech, NC State, Carolina, and Florida State.

Ishmael Smith has really stepped up his game and become the heart and soul of this team, and LD Williams has really improved his scoring game, but literally everyone else’s play has declined.  Al-Farouq Aminu has dropped off his play, as has CJ Harris and Chas McFarland.

Wake faces a red hot Clemson, Sunday, March 7th, which will be their last game before going into tournament play.  The Deacs absolutely need a spark, and a win over Clemson would certainly give them a spark.  If they can slow down the game tempo against the Tigers and control the ball, a win is very feasible.  Right now, Wake really needs some energy going into the ACC tournament.  End of story.

They’ve gone from about a 6th seed to a possible 9th seed in about a time span of two weeks, so they’ll really need to do well in the ACC tournament to up their seed.  A desperate Wake team might be the best thing we’ve had in a while, and could provide that necessary spark.

I’ll bring ACC tournament predictions and Wake Forest analysis once the bracket is set up.  Promise.

Wake In Need of a Big Win

January 20th, 2010 by chicamacomicodude

Since I brought Wake analysis to you last, I have had exams, nights full of studying, and a couple hard drive failures.  Nonetheless, regular updates should be on their way, as Wake has entered ACC play, and much will be analyzed.

Alright, where do we start?  Wake played a very tough mid major in Xavier, and won in overtime 96-92.  Jordan Crawford and Jamel McLean went off on the Wake defense, scoring 30 and 21 respectively, but Al Farouq-Aminu and Ishmael Smith answered the call with 26 and 28 points.  Aminu grabbed 18 boards and Ish dished 9 assists.  Xavier was a good benchmark for what we should expect from Wake in the ACC season, and showed that this young Wake team might have matured enough to play with the big boys.

However, how many times have we seen Wake win an important game, only to barely lose in a squeaker in which Wake was favored?  Wake did just that, going into Miami against a ‘Canes team that had only been challenged once this season.  In a defensive battle, Dwayne Collins of the Hurricanes scored the game high 23 points in a 67-66 win over the Demon Deacons.  LD Williams played well, with 17 points, 6 rebounds, and 4 assists, and Gary Clark added 3-3 pointers, but it wasn’t enough to topple the streaking ‘Canes.

Maryland then came into town, and we all started to wonder how Wake would rebound from its loss to Miami.  Greivis Vasquez could not be stopped, with 30 points to his name, but Aminu, Smith, Harris, and Chas McFarland all came up big.  Aminu put up 24 points and 13 rebounds, CJ Harris nailed 4-3 pointers on his way to 18 points, Chas McFarland snatched 12 boards and layed in 8 points, and Ishmael Smith scored 16 points, 2 of them proving to be the game winners.

Wake was looking good, and we all expected big things from them against Duke.  But alas, we’ve seen this too many times…and what else could have happened but a 20 point loss to Duke in Durham?  Aminu put up his usual 22 points, and McFarland and Ari Stewart both had nice games, but little production was given anywhere else.  Kyle Singler, Miles Plumlee, and Nolan Smith put up 21, 19, and 20 respectively, and toppled Wake easily.

Wake plays UNC in Chapel Hill tonight - the 20th, then Virginia comes to Winston Salem the 23rd, and Wake will go to Georgia Tech the 28th to close out January.  If the trend is correct, Wake should take advantage of a UNC team that has lost its last 2.  Virginia is a dangerous team that has beaten both Georgia Tech and Miami this year, and Georgia Tech has a ton of talent.  Wake will need to do what they do best-out physical all 3 of their remaining January games, and letting Ish Smith, CJ Harris, and Gary Clark get what they can from beyond the arc.

We’ll know how Wake sits amongst the rest of the ACC after the Georgia Tech game.  One thing is for certain-after Duke, the ACC is wide open, and unpredictable.

But we’ve come to expect nothing less.

Wake Looking Dandy

December 21st, 2009 by chicamacomicodude

I apologize for my lack of posts here in the past three weeks, but this is because school has severely limited my writing time lately, and my computer crashed as well.  Nonetheless, here is an update.

Since I have brought you Wake insight, the Deacs have lost to William and Mary, and Purdue but have also posted wins against Gonzaga, Elon, and UNC Wilmington. Gonzaga was an extremely impressive win and showed the young Deacons’ ability to bounce back from a couple tough losses. 

The loss to William and Mary was extremely unexpected, but I figured it was an anomaly; a result of Wake’s growing pains, and it should be dismissed.  The 11 point loss to Purdue was tough, as it was Wake’s second loss in a row, but Purdue is an elite basketball team, and I dismissed that as well. 

Wake then traveled to the state of Washington to play Gonzaga, and it looked as if Wake would lose its third straight.  However, Wake came together, and three players had huge games. Ish Smith put up 8 points, 9 rebounds, and 8 assists; CJ Harris had 19 points and 4 rebounds; and Ari Stewart scored 17 points and grabbed 3 boards.  This, and great complementary play by just about everyone else, led to a 2 point victory against Gonzaga.

Elon and UNCW were expected wins, especially after Wake showed its resilience against Zaga. Wake looks to be a very strong team going into ACC play, with Ish Smith becoming an excellent floor general, LD Williams starting to score in addition to his excellent defense, Al Farouq-Aminu continuing to be a marquee player, CJ Harris and Ari Stewart providing points in bunches as mere freshmen, Chas McFarland, David Weaver, and Tony Woods grabbing the boards, and Gary Clark providing three pointers off the bench.

I have said over and over again that if Clark can step up off the bench, Wake will be able to gain another dimension and become that much harder to beat. Now that he has gotten consistent playing time, expect Wake to surprise some people.

NC State comes to Winston Salem this afternoon, December 20, and Wake looks to gain its first ACC win.  After the Pack, Wake plays UNCG, Richmond, and Xavier before they play Miami and start the meat of their schedule.  State and Xavier will be indicators of what Wake will look like in ACC play.

I predicted 20-8 for the Deacs, but if I had to reevaluate their schedule, I’d say Wake could easily go 22-6 now.

But who really knows?

Wake Basketball: Can They Play With Purdue?

November 27th, 2009 by chicamacomicodude

Four games up, four games down.  Wake is looking like they haven’t missed a beat since losing Jeff Teague and James Johnson.

Al Farouq-Aminu has gracefully stepped into the role of playmaker for the Deacs, and his supporting cast has been more than viable.  Ish Smith and LD Williams have been great in the backcourt, and Ari Stewart and CJ Harris have given Wake great scorers off the bench.

However, most teams can look great against Oral Roberts, ECU, High Point, and Winston Salem State.

I am perplexed why Gary Clark hasn’t played a single minute yet.  Does anyone know why?  He was recruited for his pure shooting, and was thought extremely highly of as a freshman.  He could give Wake a dimension they don’t have- a pure three point shooter.  Stewart, Harris, and Aminu shoot the three ball, but they don’t do it very often.

This week, Wake plays William and Mary, and then faces their first test of the season: Purdue.  Purdue is one of the best teams in the nation, and could put Wake away early if Wake doesn’t bring their A game.

Wake Forest Basketball Preview

November 20th, 2009 by chicamacomicodude

That’s right, it’s basketball time, and for Wake Forest fans, it couldn’t get here soon enough.

The 2008-2009 Wake Forest basketball season was one for the ages, including wins over Carolina and Duke, a week at number one in the nation, and a third seed in the NCAA tournament.

However, what Wake fans remember are the severe downs of the season: the opening round loss to 14th ranked Cleveland State, and losing Jeff Teague and James Johnson to the NBA.

After eight months of experiencing the sour taste left in our mouths, we are ready for this season to begin!

Although Wake is returning many players, the losses of James Johnson and Jeff Teague severely hurt the team.  Can Wake recover?  Yes, but several players will have to step up.

The starting five should include star forward Al Farouq-Aminu, defensive specialist LD Williams, lightning quick point guard Ish Smith, and center Chas McFarland, with the last spot to be decided by committee.

Even if Al Farouq-Aminu wins the Naismith and LD Williams is spectacular defensively, this team’s fate rests in the hands of Ish Smith.

Smith will need to dish out assists and be the offensive catalyst Jeff Teague was all of last year for this Wake team to be as good as Carolina and Duke, plain and simple.  If he plays well and leads this team, we may be seeing them go a long way in March.

Wake’s frontcourt is extremely solid, with Aminu, highly touted freshman Ari Stewart, and big men McFarland, David Weaver, Tony Woods, and Tyler Walker.

Like Smith, Wake’s backcourt will have to step up to compete with the big boys.  Smith and LD Williams don’t do a lot of scoring, so their bench, made up of the highly touted freshman point guard CJ Gaddis, pure shooting senior Gary Clark, and sophomore Konner Tucker.

Watching Gaddis will be interesting, as he is the future of the point guard position in Winston-Salem, but Gary Clark could come off the bench and be a three point threat for Wake, which is something they severely lack.  He would give them an extra dimension that would keep other teams honest.

So what can we expect from Wake this year?  Well, they won’t be as good as last year, and they will probably lose some games they shouldn’t, but they will be in every game.  A 20-8 record is about the floor for this team.

Winners Announced for the Raycom Sports’ “Race to Win a $250 Shopping Spree” Comment Contest

November 18th, 2009 by admin

The winners are in!  These 2 lucky people commented on the Raycom Sports Team Blogs and are cashing in.  Drum roll please…

The Grand Prize Winner of a $250 Shopping Spree from Original Retro Brand goes to “Pablo”

The 1st Runner Up Prize of a $100 Shopping Spree from Original Retro Brand goes to “Sebastian”

Congratulations, and thanks for being a part of the Raycom Sports Blog Network!

Wake Forest Loses Another Classic

November 5th, 2009 by chicamacomicodude

Coming into Saturday, many thought the Deacs would come out and give Miami all it could handle.

Not to disappoint, they did.

Wake Forest got out to a quick 17-0 start with a field goal and two touchdowns by Riley Skinner, shrugging off his slump that had plagued his performance for the past two weeks.

However, the Wake defense couldn’t quite finish the half the way they started it, and Wake led 20-14 going into the break.

When Riley Skinner found Chris Givens for a 44 yard touchdown strike in the 3rd quarter, the upset seemed to have been sealed.

But just when you thought Miami was out, Jacory Harris went to work, with a touchdown pass early in the 4th quarter.  Wake desperately needed a score to give themselves a little bit of a cushion, but that just wasn’t happening, with a Riley Skinner interception, and a punt on their next posession.

Starting with 2:40 left on the clock, Jacory Harris completed six of eight passes, capping his outstanding drive with a touchdown to Travis Benjamin, putting the ‘Canes up by one.

Unable to play because of an injury he sustained on a hit on his previous drive, Riley Skinner had to watch his team try to march down the field one last time against Miami without Skinner engineering it.  Ryan McManus played pretty well, but ended up only getting Wake to the Miami 43, setting themselves up for a 60 yard field goal, which they inevitably missed with time expiring.

The Wake defense played extremely well against the run, allowing a sparkling 1.2 yards per carry.  Defending the pass was an entirely different issue, allowing 330 yards and three touchdowns.

My stat for the preview of this game was extremely indicative, with Riley Skinner completing 29 of 43 passes for 349 yards and two touchdowns.  I did not expect the Wake running game to play well, but they did manage 4.5 yards per carry.

In the end, Wake just couldn’t sustain 60 minutes of good football, no matter how good the first 45 were.  They will need to play all 60 minutes against Georgia Tech to compete against this national championship darkhorse team.

The Georgia Tech attack of Josh Nesbitt, Jonathan Dwyer, and Anthony Allen will be a lot for Wake to handle, so Skinner will need to find Marshall Williams, Chris Givens, and Devon Brown early, and often.  Miami was a better shot for Wake to snap their skid, so unless Georgia Tech collapses, expect Wake’s losing streak to climb to four in a row.